Sunday, March 15, 2015

This Year's (Almost) Last Bracketology

I've been so busy Selection Sunday kind of snuck up on me.  But I got to it.

According to bracketology aggregator The Bracket Matrix (even though it says it hasn't updated since last night, even though he or she has put in bold Arizona and Cal-Irvine, the two teams that won auto-bids late Saturday night), here are the bubble teams, in order:
  • Real Last Four In: Oklahoma St., LSU, Purdue, Texas
  • Play-In Games: Temple, Boise St., BYU, Indiana
  • Last Four Out (Not First Four Out ... this year I see every bracketologist saying First, not Last, and that's simply not accurate ... how are the teams that just missed The Big Dance called the First Four Out?  Do you mean to tell me the NCAA Tournament Committee took these four teams and, say, Grambling, a team that finished winless in its conference and a record of 2-27 overall, and said that the following four teams were deemed the first not to make the tourney?  That Grambling receives more consideration to get into the tournament than these four?  That makes no stupid fucking sense!): Ole Miss, UCLA, Tulsa, Miami
Of the five conference title games being played this afternoon, only one team is a potential bid thief, a team that would get into the NCAA Tournament with a win but absolutely would not get in as an at-large if they lose: defending champion UConn.  If the Huskies beat SMU -- and I kind of think they will -- and assuming The Bracket Matrix does not update between now and then (I'm busy this afternoon, so I don't know if I'll be able to revisit this before the field is announced at 5 Central Time), it'll be Indiana that is thrown out of the tournament ... and the Longhorns would then be forced to play the Play-In Game.

(ETA at 1:45 p.m.: Stayed here long enough for it to update.  Here is the new aggregation:

  • Real Last Four In: Colorado St., Texas, LSU, Purdue
  • Play-In Games: Temple, Boise St., BYU, Indiana
  • Last Four Out: Ole Miss, UCLA, Miami, Tulsa
If UConn wins today, Purdue will be kicked down to the Play-In Game.)

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