Saturday, November 23, 2013

College Football Anti-Picks, Week 13

Record, Week 12: 4-4
Total Record: 42-49-2
Total Outlay, Week 12: $750.00
Total Winnings, Week 12: $668.15
Loss, Week 12: $81.85
Overall Loss: $210.62

A step back.  For the second week in a row I put my money on Central Florida when I shouldn't have, since they failed to cover again.  Also failing me is South Carolina.  I may have wagered on them to cover when they didn't earlier in the season, and so it's my fault if I went to the Gamecock well once again.  That sunk my $100 parlay.  Therefore, while I went 1-1 for my $150 and 2-1 on the $50, I went 1-2 with the $100 best.  One extra winning $50 up against one losing $100 means I lost for the week.  Not the worst thing in the world, but I thought I had the hang of betting big favorites late in the college football season, and this week said I didn't.

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I am pissed that this stripper bitch ripped me off, so no introduction:

1) Minnesota +16 1/2 (They host Wisconsin, and even though the Badgers have been a tank on the ground, the Golden Gophers can run the ball, too.  I'm really frightened that the oddsmakers know something I don't, but I really believe that this line is out of whack.  In fact, I really think Minnesota has a chance to win back Paul Bunyan's Ax for the first time in a decade.  Yeah, I'm nuts enough to Best Bet this Against The Spread ...) $100

2) Minnesota M/L +527 (... and also bet on them Straight-Up) $50

3) Oregon -20 1/2 (I'm not as hot on the Ducks as I would if they were the juggernaut of yore.  But they have shown serious weakness in facing disciplined defenses whose players stay in their lanes and, most importantly, are strong.  I don't know if Arizona is strong, but Oregon is playing on their turf.  I'll tread lightly) $50

4) Oregon-Arizona Over 67.5 (To make up for not Best Betting the Ducks, I'll bet the Over on this game.  I think the Wildcats are good enough to score, oh, 20 points) $50

5) Stanford -31 1/2 (Host Cal.  Rivalry games always scare me -- and by the way, why is this rivalry game being played the next-to-last week of the season, not the last week?  I know the Cardinal finish next week hosting Notre Dame, but still, this is Cal -- but the Golden Bears lost to Colorado, making Cal the worst team in the Pac-12.  Stanford has added incentive to bounce back from their upset loss last week at USC by beating the everlasting shit out of Cal.  Best Bet this) $100

6) UCLA +2 (Host Arizona St.; winner is in the driver's seat to win the Pac-12 South.  That's enough reason for the Bruins to show up.  Why are the road Sun Devils the favorite?  This UCLA Linebacker-turned-Running Back will score, like, five fucking touchdowns on them.  Best Bet these guys ATS ...) $100

7) UCLA M/L +110 (... then bet on them SU) $50

8) Baylor-Oklahoma St. Over 78 (I don't know who's going to win the game, but I feel fairly certain they can each put up six touchdowns apiece.  Best Bet this) $100

9) Home dog parlay: 2) with 6), for $50.

10) Over parlay: 4) with 8), for $50.

Good luck!

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