Total Outlay, Round 1: $2,700.00
Total Intake, Round 1: $3,629.32
Total Winnings: $929.32
I was so wrong on so many picks, I wonder if I'm calculating the winnings right. But I'm going to trust my ability to do basic math and say that on the strength of my huge bet on Michigan, I have raced out to a big lead when it comes to money. Oh, and I was very lucky on bet 19), a three-legged parlay. While I said that Virginia Tech was one of the big underdogs that should spring the upset, I said instead to parlay the Davidson picks. Good thing; the Hokies laid a huge egg against a vulnerable Texas squad. But Davidson managed to lose only by one to Michigan St. I crashed out on the Moneyline parlay in 20), but because the Wildcats pushed +1, that busted my three-legger into a two-legger of Michigan -1 and Iowa St. +4, both of which hit. I won almost $800 on that one, if the parlay calculator is right. But I would have been golden if Virginia Tech hit. Loyola-Chicago, too. Both lost, so that hurts my Anti-Picks, as well as my real-life bracket. Had the Hokies in the Final Four -- I know, I know -- and the Ramblers in the Regional Final vs. Arizona.
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Now that the real, pure frenzy is over and we get only eight Games today and tomorrow, I'm going to pare down my picks. I am going to use two things I see in The Athletic and one I don't: The Slingshot model predicting the fortunes of underdogs against higher-seeded teams; reporter Austin Mock's analysis; and, because neither has anything for Sunday's Games as of press time (thanks for that), my own gut instinct. Melding those three together gives me these picks:
1) Tennessee -6 $100
2) Richmond +2 1/2 $200
3) Richmond M/L +127 $100
4) St. Peter's +8 1/2 $50
5) Memphis +10 $50
6) Houston -4 1/2 $100
7) Iowa St. +3 $50
8) Uh ... parlay 1), 2) and 4) together, for $100.
Good luck!
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