Saturday, October 19, 2013

College Football Anti-Picks, Week 8

Record, Week 7: 2-7
Total Record: 18-21
Total Outlay, Week 7: $600.00
Total Winnings, Week 7: $190.90
Loss, Week 7: $409.10
Overall Loss: $198.75

The day started off well with me getting both Big Ten picks right.  Then it quickly went downhill.  I dropped every Anti-Pick after going 2-0, especially with making two bets on the Baylor game.  That sent me plunging through my bankroll floor, going from a good size up to really deep in the hole.  Just like that, in one week.

Moral of the story: Bet only on Big Ten games.

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But I won't just bet only on Big Ten games, because this is all fake:

1) Texas Tech-West Virginia Under 57.5 (Both teams' starting Quarterbacks probably won't play.  That might mean that this will be a shootout, especially if both defenses are bad against the pass.  I don't know that because I did not research this well.  What I'm saying is this is a guess) $50

2) Missouri +3 (Host Florida, which has hung tough since they lost their starting QB.  An SEC matchup, so I revert back to betting on home dogs.  And since I think the Tigers have a chance to win outright, I'll play these guys Against The Spread. ...) $100

3) Missouri M/L +133 (... then bet on them Straight-Up) $50

4) Akron-Miami (OH) Under 45.5 (Zips have one win; Redhawks are winless and just fired their Head Coach.  I don't think that points to offensive aptitude) $50

5) UCLA +4 1/2 (They are visiting Stanford, but I really do believe that not only are the Cardinal gettable, but that the Bruins are the better team.  So I'm going to Best Bet this ATS. ...) $100

6) UCLA M/L +169 (... then lay some money on them SU) $50

7) Indiana +9 1/2 (I don't think they'll win in Michigan, but the Wolverines are very vulnerable this year, and if their win over Penn St. is any indication, the Hoosiers aren't exactly pushovers.  Best Bet this) $100

8) Clemson +3 (Home dog, plus Florida St. has a history of disappointing in big games.  Why aren't the Tigers favored here?  They should be.  OK, Double Best Bet this ATS. ...) $100

9) Clemson M/L +137 (... then wager some skin SU) $50

10) ATS Best Bets: Parlay 2). 5) and 8), for $50.

11) SU Best Bets: Parlay 3), 6) and 9), for $25.

Good luck!

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